LNG (LIQUIFIED NATURAL GAS)

LNG demand to boom over next decade: analyst

CHINAS on-again, off-again negotiating tactics over Gorgon LNG are likely to be pointless if Delo...

This article is 19 years old. Images might not display.

“With high oil prices here to stay, the importance of LNG is growing,” Newman said.

“The Chinese have an enormous demand for energy and have to keep all options open. It’s hard to believe that they will not be involved in Gorgon.”

Deloitte is anticipating a solid, flexible, expanding LNG market over the next 15 years, according to Newman.

“Gas will grow more than oil, especially in the Asia-Pacific Basin region,” he said.

“The big LNG producers know this and it has given them the confidence to move forward with projects even without having all of their gas contracted – something they never would have done in the past.”

In fact, having a substantial portion of uncontracted gas could be good for producers in the current climate, according to Newman.

“Regional gas markets are no longer discrete pools – they are rapidly becoming interconnected,” he said.

“This is happening much faster than analysts had expected, and it is fuelling the LNG spot market from uncontracted gas. With high North American prices making transportation more economic, LNG producers may now have a preference for having say 20% of their production uncontracted.”

Newman has no doubt that there will be enough tankers to deal with the burgeoning LNG output coming onstream over the next decade.

“Shipyard order books are full, and there is an argument that the industry has over-ordered tanker capacity,” he said.

“We are seeing a trend towards bigger tankers. These huge tankers will probably serve large, contracted customers and the existing smaller tankers will handle the spot market.”

With the US having difficulty in getting new LNG terminals built, Newman said it made sense for LNG producers to look at new-generation tankers that could regasify their cargo onboard.

“For LNG producers being able to access the North American market is very important,” he said.

TOPICS:

A growing series of reports, each focused on a key discussion point for the energy sector, brought to you by the Energy News Bulletin Intelligence team.

A growing series of reports, each focused on a key discussion point for the energy sector, brought to you by the Energy News Bulletin Intelligence team.

editions

Energy News Bulletin Future of Energy Report 2024

With the global energy market in constant development, this report captures the sentiment of key industry players on the future of energy in Australia – and how it has changed through 2024.

editions

ENB CCS Report 2024

ENB’s CCS Report 2024 finds that CCS could be the much-needed magic bullet for Australia’s decarbonisation drive

editions

ENB Cost Report 2023

ENB’s latest Cost Report findings provide optimism as investments in oil and gas, as well as new energy rise.

editions

ENB Future of Energy Report 2023

ENB’s inaugural Future of Energy Report details the industry outlook on the medium-to-long-term future for the sector in the Asia Pacific region.